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Entries in CL Football (2)

Thursday
Aug192010

Promised land...it's up ahead

Consistency. It's the most important, vital factor of our journey to the promised land. And by promised land, I am not referring to the Champions League Group Stages. For that will hopefully be our quite frequent seasoned holiday from our domestic plights and challenges. The promised land I'm referring to is the level that the likes of Chelsea and Manchester United bask in. I'm talking elite here. I'm talking certified bona fide Sky Sports Top 4. I do not believe that the EPL is about to structurally alter itself into a far more open league. This, what we have at this present moment regarding Premier League hierarchy, is nothing more than a transitional period. Over the next two/three seasons a new elite will be birthed from the ashes of the old one.

Quite frankly this is the promised land, because once the doors shut, 5th spot and below will return to the dark days watching four clubs dominating and the rest of the chasing pack so far behind that they'll have to squint using binoculars to see them.

The Champions League adventure we wish to have this season is, make no mistake about it, important to our stature and will force others to take note and pay respect. But it has to be earnt, and we have but 90 minutes to do so. If we do, which I believe we will, then even more focus and consistency will be required to guide us through our domestic season to claim another place in amongst the elite next season.

And as for the domestic season, Chelsea and Utd will not fall out of their thrones in the heavens. Arsenal are a curious creature. Proud they don't spend extravagantly on players (apart from untold millions upon millions on player wages). Although many of their fans would point out that if the money was available for them to buy big, they'd be able to perhaps fix one or two positional headaches. But alas, their debt is a far more important objective. It's something to behold, their philosophy, to be one or two steps ahead of everyone else in the league, apart from the top two sides without the necessity of splashing the cash. But it's not going to be enough unless they do something drastic and do it soon. The fallacy? Their youth policy. And empty trophy cabinet. Wenger's commitment to his beliefs should be admired, but in these modern times, it's not enough. Which suits me just fine.

Liverpool, Manchester City. The other two contenders. I will discount both Everton and Villa, and let you work out the reasons, such is their obviousity. I wouldn't say anyone else has the foundations to throw down the gauntlet.

We do. But it's not quite the full package. The right parts are there and the desire and belief components still require a touch of fine tuning. The question is, we discovered a new level last season, can we find a new one this season? Can we take that extra step because the risk of achieving the same performance overall this season, as last, might not be enough if the likes of City or Liverpool perform better than they did. Which they might well do. But they, in my opinion, should not be the ones to concern ourselves with. We need to aim for something, someone of genuine consistency.

I am a keen admirer of Levy and completely back him for not wanting to go down the road of offering players ridiculous wages. Speculate to accumulate you might say. We'd done plenty of that investing in players like Modric and now Sandro. Redknapp made a mockery of previous Spurs landlords, quickly resolving the issues and moulding the team into one that could damage the aspirations of others. We have the players, the balance and the teams above us historically are very much now in our sights, without the need of binoculars.

Consistency. This team has to grow, learn from mistakes and continue to blossom. But has to do so quickly and therefore take risks. So perhaps on this occasion, Levy should look to sign whomever Harry requires as long as the investment is one of quantifiable merits. Gallas? You might think its wrong for a number of rather obvious reasons. But this will be master-stroke. Not of the same quality he was say 4 or so years ago but still enough about him to provide ample experience when required. As for his tears and tantrums, playing in red and white is enough to break anyone.

A tweak here, a tweak there. No need to unbalance the Facere.

City will buy their way into the Top 4. Which means Arsenal are the favourites for the other position. They are the ones of genuine consistency. They are the team we aim for. They might not win silverware, but they finish top 4 each and every season and never truly look like losing out, even when they supposedly struggle. Meaning this:

Finish above Arsenal, and our job will be done. Finish above Arsenal twice and so forth, you do the math. One cycle ends, another begins. There is no guarantee finishing above Liverpool would result in the same thing.

The attitude can only be do or die. It's us or them.

 

by guest-blogger schrodinger's cat 


Monday
May172010

Potential qualifiers for the CL

Thought I'd share this for clairty. Although tbh, there's still a chance of remaining a tad confused for a while longer until all leagues are done and dusted.

Thanks to Goonbasher (GG.co.uk) for bringing all this to our attention.

As you know we are seeded for the 4th round of the non-Champions qualifying round. Seeded and unseeded teams mentioned below relate directly to who we might be playing (remember these are 4th round seeded and unseeded sides - if you click on the link at the bottom of this blog post, then you can see the seeded/unseeded sides for round 1/2 including both non-champions and champions).

 

Seeded teams                   coef.              Unseeded teams                 coef.
------------------------ --- ---------------- ------------------------ --- ----------------
Sevilla Esp 108.951 Fenerbahçe *3 Tur 54.890
Werder Bremen Ger >94.841 Dinamo Kiev *3 Ukr 42.910
Zenit St. Petersburg *3 Rus 61.258 CL-QR3 *3 39.659 - 47.898
Tottenham Hotspur Eng 56.371 Sampdoria Ita >30.810
 Ajax *3                  Ned  55.309              AJ Auxerre               Fra  19.748

As you can see above, some clubs still need to get past round three (*3) which means if those qualifying from round 3 survive, then we potentially face either:

Fenerbahce

Dinamo Kiev

Sampdoria

Auxerre (possibly)

or 'another side'

(sides that might get through the second round, i.e. Celtic, Braga, PAOK, AA Gent and a few others).

And if (/prays) we get through that round, then (just to get you wet in anticipation) the below gives you an idea of what the four pots the clubs are drawn from will look like, allowing you to fantasise about some of the possible away trips and visits to the Lane we could be in for. Although just to reiterate - the below at this current time is just a prediction thanks to the sides (including us) that still have some work to do.

 

Group Stage (32 teams)

Pot 1                          coef.              Pot 2                          coef.
------------------------ --- ---------------- ------------------------ --- ----------------
FC Barcelona Esp 136.951 Olympique Lyon Fra 96.748
Manchester United Eng 125.371 Werder Bremen *4 Ger >94.841
Chelsea Eng 118.371 Real Madrid Esp 84.951
Arsenal Eng 115.371 AS Roma Ita >83.810
Bayern München Ger>110.841 Shakhtar Donetsk Ukr 73.910
Sevilla *4 Esp 108.951 Benfica Por 72.659
AC Milan Ita >99.810 Valencia Esp 66.951
Internazionale Ita >98.810 Olympique Marseille Fra 62.748


Pot 3 coef. Pot 4 coef.
------------------------ --- ---------------- ------------------------ --- ----------------
Zenit St. Petersburg *3 Rus 61.258 FC København *3 Den 34.470
Panathinaikos Gre 56.979 Spartak Moscow Rus 33.758
Tottenham Hotspur *4 Eng 56.371 Hapoel Tel-Aviv ** Isr 27.775
Glasgow Rangers Sco 56.158 Sparta Praha ** Cze 27.395
Ajax *3 Ned 55.309 FC Twente Enschede Ned 25.309
Schalke 04 Ger >54.841 Rubin Kazan Rus 21.758
FC Basel *3 Sui 48.675 CFR Cluj Rom 15.898
Anderlecht *3 Bel 42.580 Bursapor Tur 6.890

 

For all the gory details please visit this website of oracle quality - http://www.xs4all.nl/~kassiesa/bert/uefa/seedcl2010.html and keep an eye on the confirmation of the final qualifying teams for the pre-group stage.